Previous Picks

January 13

NCAAB
USC at UCLA(-2.5)
The Trojans travel to play the Bruins in this Pac-12 Conference game. UCLA has dominated this series winning their last 6 games against USC, while covering the spread in 5 of those games. Tonight I expect something different.
We will start off with some trends: USC (12-4-1 ATS, +4.7 ATS+/-), UCLA (6-11 ATS, -1.2 ATS+/-). In all the games played this season, USC leads the Pac-12 in covering spreads at a 75% clip while the Bruins are cemented at the bottom covering only in 35.3% of their games. Moving to in-conference games, the Trojans continued their success going 3-1 ATS thus far covering by an average of 4.2 points. UCLA hasn't done much worse with their record of 2-2 ATS in their conference games but averaging 1.9 points below spreads over that stretch. The interesting part about these in-conference games is that both USC and UCLA has played the same teams in the same circumstances (Away against Washington and Wash St, Home against Arizona and Arizona St). Advantage USC.
Next, we'll determine how much handicapping must be done for this home UCLA team. On their home court, UCLA has gone 9-1 SU but 5-5 ATS (+0.6 ATS+/-). The Bruins have just had recent success on it against Arizona and Arizona St, finding themselves on a bit of a roll. Nonetheless, there is not much handicapping to be done besides what Vegas has already put in. The Trojans on the other hand have been playing good basketball when they've been forced to pack their bags and hit the road. In their three road games, USC has gone 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS (+5.8 ATS+/-). USC has not faltered on the road and I believe it will continue tonight. Let's look at some betting trends and see if the sharps tip their hands.
According to SportsInsights, UCLA is getting their name punched on 3 out of every 4 tickets. Their 77% backing is impressive, but this may be due to the increased press on their win against Arizona and even Arizona State. The ESPN top ten three pointer by Bryce Alford gave the country a look at UCLA and definitely has the public favoring UCLA too strongly here. Where are the sharps though? Looking at at opening line of -2 for UCLA, it has actually moved to -2.5 so with the public giving a strong backing to UCLA in one of today's most highly bet NCAAB game, the public could have been strong enough or some sharps are behind UCLA on their home court.
Given the line movement, all that does is help the Trojans cover even more, and teams receiving less than 25% of bets usually seem to cover as it is. Take the Trojans: USC +2.5

Other picks:

RLM: GTown (-8), BC (+11), URI (+1), Cincinati (-10), Villanova (-17), PSU (+16.5), Jax St (pk), Alabama (+4.5), Missouri State (+14), Virginia Tech (pk), Oklahoma State (+8), San Diego St (-3), Oregon State (+4.5)

Teams Receiving Less than 25% of Bets: ECU (+13.5), Rutgers (+20), George Mason (+6), URI (+1), Clemson (+7.5), Lasalle (+13), St Louis (+8.5), Indiana State (+1.5), TCU (+12.5), Villanova (-17), Missouri State (+14), Oklahoma State (+8), Nevada (+5), Oregon State (+4.5), USC (+2.5)

January 12

NCAAB

Based on Betting Trends:
Searched for teams that had Reverse Line Movement (Sharps betting against the public) and teams receiving less than 25% of bets

RLM: DePaul (+18.5), C Michigan (+1.5), Toledo (-7), Florida (+6), MSST (+16), Virginia (-5), Creighton (-2.5), Texas (+1.5), Vanderbilt (-16)

<25%: C Michigan (+1.5), UMASS (+6), WVU (+2), Texas (+1.5), Michigan (+2)

Those are my picks based on the trends.
Bolded are those teams on both lists, higher confidence in the pick.

January 11

NCAAB
Villanova(-4.5) at Butler
The Wildcats travel to Indianapolis to face off against a very good Big East opponent in Butler. Butler hasn't had the same success at Villanova in conference play so far going 1-2 and covering 0 of the 3 games' spreads, while the Wildcats are 3-0 (2-1 ATS). They both have played Xavier, which Nova ran off the floor in a 31 point win while the Bulldogs got beat by 19. In total comparison, Villanova has won their three games by an average of 18 points (+8.2 ATS) and Butler has lost theirs by an average of 7.3 points (-11.3 ATS). So by looking at conference play, there has been a clear advantage to Villanova.
Besides looking at a small sample size of three games in conference, let's look at overall strength of schedule so far and Villanova has played a much stronger schedule than Butler. KenPom Ratings shows Nova playing the 25th hardest schedule while Butler has played the 109th. Staying on KenPom, Nova is also shown to be a much more balanced team with the 6th most efficient offense and defense, while Butler has the 7th most efficient offense but a lackluster 183rd most efficient defense.
Nova plays better defense there's no denying that: better Defensive Opp FG%, Opp 3pt FG%, 11 less Opp PPG, while also having a better Net Assist/Turnover margin. The reason I mention this is because the better defense in those key categories tend to cover more spreads. Defense usually doesn't have an off night like offenses might so these teams are always in ball games giving themselves a better chance of covering. They are also better free throw shooters than Butler which I value because if its a close game and Nova has a lead which they are projected to, they are going to need to make free throws and seal that spread.
Let's look at some Vegas trends as well to see where the money sits. While it is always unnerving to back a Road Favorite as NCAAB holds one of the highest home field advantages in all of sports, Vegas Insiders tells us that 68% of bets are on Nova covering, while 97% of money line bets on them as well. So while the public is riding Nova, the bets backing them to win seem to be overwhelmingly on the favorites as well. This isn't a 10 pt spread, just 4.5. To see 97% means there's some serious confidence in them.
Overall, Nova is the better, hotter team which would usually inflate spreads which would make the smarter gambler pick the home team Butler and fade the public. Not this time. They are more well rounded, better ATS all year, rolling over the conference so far, and should score a ton against this Butler defense. I'll back the Wildcats: Villanova(-4.5)

February 9th


NCAAB
Duke at Florida State(+10.5)
Duke made a statement against Notre Dame, and while I don't think the same thing will happen against the Seminoles, I don't foresee this game being close. Duke takes care of the ball much better than Florida State, as the Seminoles have given away the ball an average of 17 times/game the last three games. Against a high scoring team like Duke that will be dangerous, and with a subpar defense they will need to force some turnovers of their own. Although, Duke has an average Assist/Turnover ratio of 1.394 which is 14th in the country. This limits the opportunities for opponents to take advantage. Duke gets on the boards better than Florida State, and if Florida State allows them to make such a presence down low on the offensive boards, it won't be good for them. I believe Duke is better than them in all facets of the game, playing phenomenal basketball of late. No doubt Duke wins here and I believe it'll be by double digits.
The Pick: Duke(-10.5)

Oklahoma State at Baylor(-6.5)
Hard to argue with saying the Baylor Bears have been playing like one of the best teams in the country. The Bears have covered their spreads the past three games by an average of 18.5 points, covering its last 4 of 5. Their last huge win coming away from home in the likes of West Virginia, handling them easily by 18 points. Oklahoma State just isn't the same team away as they are at home as they covered 7 of 10 home games but only half of their 10 away games. Baylor has been just dismantling teams on the boards, grabbing an average of 43 rebounds/game over their last 3 games. Also, they've grabbed 27 defensive rebounds/game over this period, while OKST has only grabbed 16/game. If OKST can't crash the glass against this strong Baylor team down low, there won't be many second chance opportunities and they will be forced to outshoot them which they won't want to do against a team shooting nearly 60% from the field over their last 3 games. Baylor has been shooting 49% from three and 51% from two over their past 3 games, but a team this hot will definitely cool off against a tough OKST defense. Overall, Baylor has actually a better defense and definitely a stronger offense and will cruise to another win. I would jump all over this spread.
The Pick: Baylor(-6.5)

Iowa State at Oklahoma(-6.5)
Great offense versus great defense. Iowa State is one of the more impressive offenses in all of college basketball but they will have a tough test scoring points going in Oklahoma's home court. Oklahoma has been on a roll, covering their spreads in four straight contests going into tonight by almost double digits each time. Oklahoma rebounds better (39 RPG vs. 36.5), plays better defense (60.7 OPPG vs 68.1), and is playing at home where they have covered in 7 out of 9 times at home. Also worth noting, Iowa State has lost its last two road games to Texas Tech... and Kansas and covered neither spread. I would think that these teams have enough power on both ends to keep it close but Iowa State has scared me on the road of late and Oklahoma is the better team playing exactly where they want to be. It'll be a good game but the better team comes out by just enough and could push double digits.
The Pick: Oklahoma(-6.5)

NBA
Atlanta at Minnesota(+6.5)
One thing I dislike doing is betting against home underdogs in the NBA, it just scares me. But after looking at the outcomes of those games, only 10 of 24 teams that have been home underdogs at some point during the season have covered more often than not. So in effect, my theory doesn't have much validity. Furthermore, Hotlanta is 18 for 24 in covering road spreads, while Minnesota is 9 of 24 covering home spreads. I think they have their hands full with this spread tonight. Neither team has been playing their best basketball of late as Atlanta has dropped 2 of 4, both losses coming on the road. This may scare some bettors but I'm willing the bet that Atlanta doesn't drop 3 in a row. Also, they played last night, but so did Minnesota, which only has covered 4 of its 11 spreads on no rest while Atlanta has covered 9 of 13. Minnesota has had success lately down low, but tonight is won't be as easy against the Hawks who only allow 39.8 pts/game in the paint (8th in the NBA). The Hawks are also the best 3 point shooting team in the NBA playing one of the worst teams guarding the three. This will be like much of the first game.
The Pick: Atlanta(-6.5)


February 7th


NCAA
Arizona at Arizona State(+8.5)
Arizona has been on a roll covering spreads going 5 for its last 5, while being a powerhouse in the Pac-12, winning its games by an average MOV of 17.7 and covering in those games by an average of 6.4 points. The key for a home team to pull off the upset at home seems to be being able to turn the away team over and play good defense. Arizona is superior in both of these categories and is 20th in the country in turnover percentage, turning teams over a solid 19.9% of the time. Arizona State also doesn't protect the ball very well turning the ball over 14.4 times a game (18.8% turnover/play). This doesn't bode well for the Sun Devils, as well as a less superior defense stacked up against Arizona's 17th ranked defense in the nation. Arizona's been playing great and despite playing an in-state rival which may be close, I still like Arizona beating Arizona State by 9 and it will most likely be a double digit win.
The Pick: Arizona(-8.5)

Louisville at Virginia(-7)
Louisville will have their hands full going up against the tops in college basketball, the Cavaliers. Virginia is a very fundamental team and Louisville will try their best to make them uncomfortable forcing 16 turnovers/game which is in the top 20 in the country. The problem is Virginia doesnt turn the ball over as well as they don't foul, so overall, they're not gonna give it to Louisville, the Cardinals will have to earn it. Virginia's superior defense will make things very difficult for Louisville which is not a real dangerous offensive team. The Cardinals may be better away from home, covering 5 of its 8 games, but they won't have many errors from Virginia to take advantage. Virginia will need to take advantage of the Cardinals woes in regards to putting opponents at the line, which the Cavs don't do much, but I think they will play very well coming off the big win in North Carolina.
The Pick: Virginia(-7)

Other Picks:
Kentucky(+8)
Utah(+5)
Gonzaga(+13)


February 4th

NBA
Detroit at Indiana(+3)
The Public Consensus is on the Pistons side as 60% of bets are on them taking the three point spread. After looking at their track record of each team ATS, the Pistons do seem like a logical choice covering 4 of their last 5 and 7 of 10. Indiana is going in the other direction covering ATS in 3 of their last 13. The location matters as well, and Indiana may be favored too many points at home sometimes as they are only 8-13-1 at home ATS, while the Pistons are 13-11 ATS away from their home court. The Pistons have been playing better ball lately, and are 2-0 SU as well as ATS this year against the Pacers. I am a little cautious as their big men are going against a tough defense in the paint as the Pacers are second in the NBA allowing only 38.5 pts/game down low. Indiana is also a strong rebounding team, and being at home it could favor them if they are the more physical team leading to more hometown calls. I hope that's not the case and the better team on the road handles its business for its third win this year against the Pacers.
The Pick: Detroit(+3)

Denver at Boston(-3)
Boston hasn't played well lately, but they played great last night (against the Knicks I know..) and going up against a lagging Nuggets team. The Celts will be playing at home where they are 10-14 ATS but they are playing a road Nuggets team that is a much better team at home than it is on the road where they are 9-14 ATS. The Nuggets have not covered in 7 of their last ten games, whereas Boston has covered in 7 of their last 10. Boston is shooting the ball a whole lot better than the Nuggets their past three games as well, as the Nuggets are shooting 23% from three point range (Season Average: 32%) and 41% from two point range (Season Average: 47%). This shooting slump will hurt them playing a Boston team that can point up points in a hurry being in the top half of the league in scoring.
The Pick: Boston(-3)

Other Picks:
Houston(-3) - Playing at home, Chicago has been letting up too many points lately and Houston will take advantage
Dallas(+8.5) - Never good betting against GSW when their at home, but the Mav's have played great defense of late and since GSW just played last night, they might be a little tired making it easier on the Mav's defense. I don't think we'll see the same domination were used to of GSW at home tonight.

NCAA
TCU at Baylor(-8)
The battle of the strong away squad versus the strong home squad makes matter difficult when predicting a sizable 8 point spread. Baylor is clearly the better team and is dominant at home, but TCU almost spoiled a win for West Virginia in their home court. Baylor dominates on the boards as well as shooting the basketball. Their improved defense this year is one of the reasons they've played so well thus far. Baylor is an overall superior basketball team, offensively more efficient than TCU playing the seventh hardest schedule in the nation in regards to the opposing defenses. I think Baylor takes this one by double digits.
The Pick: Baylor(-8)


January 14th

NCAAB
Davidson at UMass(+1)
One of the best scoring teams in the country head to Massachusetts to take on the Minutemen. UMass will have their hands full trying to stop this high scoring attack, but it is something they are used to because they have the second highest strength of schedule in the conference. Davidson has plenty of fans in Vegas who have believed in their abilities all year as they are a cool 10-1 against the spread covering their last 10 games in a row. The Minutemen have been successful as well as they have covered 11 of 15 games and 4 of their last 5. UMass started off as 1 point favorites but that point quickly swung over to Davidson's side as they ended up 1 point favorites. Never an easy thing playing a conference game on the road despite Davidson being the obvious better team and I think being a primarily offensive team will serve them well and make things easier on visiting teams.
The Pick: Davidson(-1)

January 10th

NFL Division Playoff Weekend

1.) Baltimore at New England(-7)

Baltimores been an absolute problem for the Patriots, and the playoffs have been the opposite of a problem for Flacco. I don't think any team wants to go up against Joe Cool right now, but I don't think any team wants to go up against the Patriots, especially at home. The Pats have beaten teams at home by an average of 16 points and while going 5-3 against the spread and a whopping 12 points above the spreads on average. Baltimore has gone 4-4-1 away from home ATS, actually averaging 3 points above those spreads. New England has covered 6 of their last 10 while Baltimore has covered 4 of their last 10 and 3 of 9 before last game against a maimed Steelers. Cool Joe played great last week, but that was against a whole different can of worms in the badddd Steelers defense and playing another game on the road in New England versus one of the best defenses the Pats have had in years. The Patriots have shown they can put up points in much of the same the Packers have on their home turf and with Baltimore's secondary amongst the bottom half in football, I think Brady takes advantage and leads the Pats to the AFC Championship game.
The Pick: New England(-7)

2.) Carolina at Seattle(-11)

I'm gonna be blunt -- I am tired of hearing about how great the Panthers have been playing. They lost 6 games in a row at one point and then win 4 in a row to get to the playoffs. Good for them. They played New Orleans at home, which means virtually nothing this year and may even be an advantage for opposing teams. Then they played the Buccaneers at home, which they survived, I repeat survived winning by 2. Then they play at home again against a Cleveland team who fell off a cliff to end the year. Yes the Browns had a solid defense no one is disputing that, but their offense was atrocious. Manziel played the first half and did virtually nothing. Then big bad Hoyer comes in, and Carolina ends up squeaking by a 17-13 win... Then they play the Falcons at home, and to me, this was their most impressive win. This also led me to think that since they played well at New Orleans and at Atlanta, they are an indoor team since they rarely play that well at home. These teams that they beat weren't nearly capable playoff teams. Sure Atlanta would've gotten in if they had beaten Carolina but this division was terrible to put it mildly. Then they get the golden pot of luck and play a Cardinals team in the first round who have a high school quarterback. This team has played NO ONE and all people can say is how great they've been playing. Yes, they're playing great but it's been against the worst teams in football. Alright, now that I've wasted paragraph beating up on the Panthers I do think they have been playing good football, more specifically on the defensive end. I don't care about last game because many teams could've done that to Lindley but against the Falcons was impressive. So easy Panthers fans I'll give them some credit but playing one of the best teams in football tonight who are on a roll, I don't see this game being close and that's that.
The Pick: Seattle(-11) - Tastes like Vinegar making this pick too

NCAAB

1.) Ohio State at Indiana(+2)

The Buckeyes have decided to take the throne of college sports dominating thus far in basketball too after reaching the college football national championship. They're up against a tough Indiana team that can put the ball in the hoop with ease. But, Indiana struggled mightily last game against Michigan State and while MS is a solid defense team in the top 10 in Defense Efficiency, Ohio State is in the top 50 in DE so its not going to be another picnic for the Hoosiers. Ohio State is also 14th in the country in offense efficiency shooting an absurd 59% from the field. The Buckeyes are playing a tougher schedule than Indiana and beating teams by an average of 22.5 points this year vs Indiana's MOV of 11.4. Ohio St just went into "The Barn" and knocked off a tough Minnesota team who plays phenomenal there beating teams by an average of 25 points. I think coming off a bad game Indiana will respond at home versus this tough Buckeye team but Ohio St will be too much for them in this high scoring affair.
The Pick: Ohio State(-2)

2.) Minnesota at Michigan(-2)

The impact of home court advantage couldn't be shown off more in one matchup. If this game was played in The Barn in Minnesota, it wouldn't be a contest. Minnesota is the better team, but on the road they have shown they can't be trusted thus far, but Michigan has shown the same distrust all season, not just at home. Minnesota is more superior offensively and defensively but just covered once for their last 4 and I do not trust them on the road in which they are 1-4-1 thus far. Michigan is never an easy place to play, and honestly save the game for Michigan. I think they squeak out this win.
The Pick: Michigan(-2)

3.) Louisville at North Carolina(-3)

The Cardinals head into unfamiliar territory in North Carolina as it is their first year in the ACC. A 14-1 record going 3-9-2 ATS shows they know how to win games but are not as impressive wins. On the other hand they are going against a Tarheels team that is 10-5 ATS atop the conference. They struggled last game against a high scoring Nortre Dame team that is 15-1 and a whole 6 points above the spread on average. North Carolina needs Marcus Paige to get going but if he gets hot there'll be no stopping this dominant team that secures most missed shots on both sides of the floor (45 rpg - #2 in the nation). They're up against a Cardinals team that is just as efficient securing rebounds at 42 rpg which sixth in the nation. Lousiville this year has gone 0-2 ATS away from home with an average of 5 points beneath the spread in those games. North Carolina has been 4-3 ATS at home covering by an average of 5 points. The Tarheels won't put up as many points as they're used to but win a close game and ultimately cover the spread.
The Pick: North Carolina(-3)


January 9th

NCAAB
Tough day for college basketball as most watchable games will not be played tonight. Nonetheless, there are still some games to be played and I will offer my insight for the picks for each game. Most Likable Games First.

1.) Quinnipiac at Monmouth(-2)

The 6-7 Bobcats enter enemy grounds Friday night against the Monmouth Hawks. There's something to be said when Quinnipiac has knocked off the Hawks eight games in a row, breaking each branch the Hawk seems to land on each time. But this time is different. The Bobcats are on the road where they have fared less than well to put it mildly. They are 1-3 losing by an average of 7 points and 8 points under the spread. No bueno. The Hawks have done much better on their home turf where they are 3-3 and winning by an average of 2 points and above the spreads by an average of 1.5 points. Overall, Monmouth has done much better ATS this year going 9-3 vs a Quinnipiac team going 3-4 ATS. The two games that Quinnipiac played as underdogs they were 0-2 in those games losing by an average of 15 points and 8 points beneath the spread. Also, Quinnipiac has played a softer schedule playing teams with an average Defensive Efficiency of 102.6 (ranked 324) and shot 42.8% from the field while Monmouth has played teams averaging 99.9 DE (ranked 151) and shot 50.1%. Being a conference game between these teams, Quinnipiac will try to bully Monmouth as it has done for years, but I think this is the year, more specifically the game that the Hawks turn it around.
The Pick: Monmouth -2

*Defensive Efficiency rankings were found at Kenpom.com (Kenny Pomeroy, Statistical Archive)

Key Statistics: ATS vs Conference
     Monmouth: 4-0 (MOV: 7.8, ATS: +8.1)
     Quinnipiac: 1-3 (MOV: -9.8, ATS: -10)
     Only common team played: vs Iona (Monmonth won at home by 3, QU lost away by 8)


2.) WI-Green Bay at WI-Milwaukee(+9.5)

Honestly, being a cheesehead I am more looking forward until Sunday... when the real Green Bay team plays, no offense WI-Green Bay, I know you'll never have a shot to play in the NFL playoffs. Anyways, this game is tough to predict for the fact that it is a much, much better team playing away from home against a lowly team. Green Bay is dishing out 9.5 points which is never an exciting thing to do in a rivalry game which should usually be close. Then again Green Bay might try to stick it to them for that same reason. Green Bay hasn't been too impressive on the road losing by an average of 12 points and 2 points under the spread. But, Milwaukee has been less impressive, making their close games hard to watch for their home fans. Milwaukee has been 4-2 at home, but only winning by an average of 1.5 points and a whole 7.5 points under the spread. When Green Bay has been the favorite, they made this known by going 8-1 overall, winning by an average of 14 points and a cool 6 points above the spread. On the other side of things is a 1-8 Milwaukee team overall when underdogs, losing by an average of 19 points and a tough 9.3 points under the spread. All things points to Green Bay taking care of business in their rivals court but I hate dishing out many points in a conference rivalry game like this. I still think Green Bay is too good of a team for Milwaukee and therefore going with them. Not to forget Milwaukee has lost 5 spreads in a row and now going up against a Green Bay team who has successfully covered 7 of its last 8.
The Pick: Green Bay -9.5

ATS Away: Green Bay: 1-2 (MOV: -11.7, ATS: -1.7)
ATS Home: Milwaukee: 1-2 (MOV: 1.5, ATS: -7.5)
Only common game team played: Wisconsin (GB lost away by 24, MK lost at home by 39)

3.) Akron at Toledo(-5)

At first glance you see one team doing what it should vs who their playing(Akron) and a Toledo team staying above water against a tough freaken schedule. They've already had to play VCU, Oregon, and Duke away from home, not to mention their only conference game so far against the best team in their conference. So all in all, an 8-6 record is not too bad to look at vs an Akron team with a record of 10-4 against schools that may or may not have a basketball court in them. Alright not that bad of teams but still not very good. I could throw stats at you about how poorly Akron has played in their two games on the road versus subpar teams and how much better a team Toledo is based on how close their games have been versus teams that are on another level. I like Toledo in this game based on their superiority up against Akron and being at home while against a team that hasn't played good ball on the road. Toledo is probably going to take it to them, upset after a three point defeat to the top team in their conference on their home turf and startle the season of a happy go lucky Akron team.
The Pick: Toledo -5

ATS Away: Akron: 1-1 (MOV: -7.5, ATS: -4.8)
ATS Home: Toledo: 1-4 (MOV: 13.7, ATS: -3)
No common opponents

NBA
Never was a fan betting on the NBA because the motivation in players is sometimes absent and teams aren't the easiest to predict. But, sports are sports and games are games and anything can happen and that's why they're great. Let's get to the predictions.

1.) Atlanta at Detroit(+3.5)

Tonight, sorry to say it Pistons fans you probably hasn't seen this many wins in strung together in Detroit since Eminem's rap battles. Detroit has won 7 in a row, but Atlanta has won 6. Both of these teams are hot covering 7 of 7 for Detroit and actually 11 of its last 12 for Atlanta. Everyone's jumping on the whole Pistons are a 20 times better team without Josh Smith and even though it has been hard to argue, this Atlanta team is very good on the road and a top tier team in the NBA which will end this amazing stretch for Detroit. Atlanta has covered almost 70% of road games while Detroit has covered a lowly 30% of the time at home. I understand this has been a different team playing its butt off lately for Detroit, but I think Atlanta will knock them off at home where they haven't played well all year.
The Pick: Atlanta -3.5

2.) Chicago at Washington(-1)

Last time these two teams met it was also in Washington where Chicago, the 2.5 point underdog won by 8. I see much of the same thing happening tonight, where Chicago is 10-8 covering the spread, covering by an average of 4 points. Washington is 8-11 at home when it comes to covering the spread, winning by an average of 7 points but only .9 points above the spread on average. Both teams have struggled to cover the spread of late but I think being a good road team, Chicago gets back on track against Washington.
The Pick: Chicago +1

Other Picks:
Indiana(-6)
Philly(+10.5)
Utah(+11.5)